Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.045471 0.053549 0.062588 0.073443 0.086121 0.100451 0.117876
2025-07-13 0.033612 0.044240 0.057449 0.075039 0.097822 0.126306 0.164600
2025-07-20 0.026345 0.037806 0.053257 0.075541 0.106787 0.148971 0.210182
2025-07-27 0.021590 0.033286 0.050150 0.076122 0.114992 0.170867 0.257141
2025-08-03 0.018322 0.030062 0.048005 0.077253 0.123548 0.193775 0.308126
2025-08-10 0.016111 0.027945 0.046995 0.079653 0.133976 0.220387 0.367831
2025-08-17 0.013398 0.024479 0.043203 0.076843 0.135438 0.232833 0.406359
2025-08-24 0.011643 0.022316 0.041172 0.076539 0.140793 0.251963 0.457983
2025-08-31 0.010092 0.020239 0.038931 0.075441 0.144448 0.268407 0.506733
2025-09-07 0.009146 0.019130 0.038254 0.077036 0.153067 0.294458 0.575667
2025-09-14 0.008062 0.017564 0.036464 0.076206 0.156913 0.312078 0.630879
2025-09-21 0.007030 0.015930 0.034290 0.074269 0.158257 0.324972 0.678346
2025-09-28 0.006074 0.014325 0.031979 0.071797 0.158340 0.335721 0.723612
2025-10-05 0.005584 0.013671 0.031585 0.073345 0.167054 0.364964 0.810547
2025-10-12 0.005071 0.012879 0.030767 0.073833 0.173518 0.390268 0.892258
2025-10-19 0.004626 0.012174 0.030037 0.074401 0.180208 0.416796 0.979798
2025-10-26 0.004266 0.011617 0.029570 0.075507 0.188256 0.447212 1.079653
2025-11-02 0.004013 0.011295 0.029616 0.077854 0.199530 0.486207 1.203834
2025-11-09 0.003522 0.010253 0.027726 0.075106 0.198037 0.495378 1.258838
2025-11-16 0.003207 0.009642 0.026845 0.074808 0.202611 0.519483 1.352759
2025-11-23 0.002893 0.008981 0.025731 0.073735 0.205041 0.538613 1.436615
2025-11-30 0.002719 0.008696 0.025597 0.075294 0.214605 0.576640 1.572820
2025-12-07 0.002472 0.008152 0.024659 0.074483 0.217655 0.598363 1.669316